Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Retire with a million dollars

So, we all have heard variations of retiring with a million dollar.

Version 1: Without society security, you will need a million dollar saved up for retirement.

Version 2: If I have a million dollar, I will retire.

Version 3: I want to retire by age X, I will work and save. At age X, I will have a million dollar and move to an island.

Many other versions exist...

So, today, I got curious, what does a million dollar really mean?

Age

Years in Retirement

Withdrawal

Account Value

64

0

$ -

$ 1,000,000.00

65

1

$ 87,345.51

$ 976,540.31

66

2

$ 89,092.42

$ 949,569.24

67

3

$ 90,874.27

$ 918,803.62

68

4

$ 92,691.75

$ 883,939.70

69

5

$ 94,545.59

$ 844,651.70

70

6

$ 96,436.50

$ 800,590.27

71

7

$ 98,365.23

$ 751,380.80

72

8

$100,332.53

$ 696,621.64

73

9

$102,339.18

$ 635,882.23

74

10

$104,385.97

$ 568,701.00

75

11

$106,473.69

$ 494,583.23

76

12

$108,603.16

$ 412,998.67

77

13

$110,775.22

$ 323,379.09

78

14

$112,990.73

$ 225,115.55

79

15

$115,250.54

$ 117,555.55

80

16

$117,555.55

$ 0.00

So, the above table assumes several things. The biggest assumption is an annual inflation rate of 2%. This is probably on the low end. It also assumes that your investment would earn a rate of return of 7%.

This means that if my 65th birthday is tomorrow. I have a million dollar at the bank right now. I could withdraw an annual income of $87K. But this assumes that I will only live till age 80. Now, if I live till age 85, I could withdraw an annual income of $73K. Each year after, I will be allowed to give myself a raise equal to the rate of inflation.

So, $70-80K sounds pretty good… but it gets more complicated…

One word: Inflation.

If I am only 30 years old now, $87K at age 65 is the equivalent of a $43K salary. Okay, so I may have totally confused you. Let me rephrase. If I earn $43K today, and give myself a raise each year equal to the rate of inflation (2%), next year, I would earn near $44K. The year after, near $45K, so on and so forth. But, this “raise” is artificial. Since, even though the income is higher, stuff cost more due to inflation. So, your purchasing power does not change. So, $87K 35 years from now has the purchase power of $43K.

Hmm… interesting… That’s what a million dollar means…

Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. This is ONE scenerio.

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